§03 · Research axis · Prediction

The oldest instruments
for listening to the unseen
are not the least scientific.

We bring three old instruments into a new frame: a symbolic draw protocol, hardware randomness seeded by atmospheric noise, and the cortical drift of an operator in ganzfeld conditions. We treat each as a formal device that perturbs the observer's prior, preregister every question, and publish the trials that find nothing, which is most of them.

Registrydrafting · first cohort
First seal2026-Q3
Stancefalsifiable · preregistered

Three instruments. One protocol.

Instrument · I78-card iconographic deck · k-way bins

Symbolic draw protocol

An iconographic deck used not to predict the world, but to perturb the operator. Cards map deterministically into pre-declared outcome bins; we measure the shift in the operator's prior, never the card.

Outcome bins · k = 8 · last layout
B·1B·2B·3B·4B·5B·6B·7B·8
Instrument · IIHardware · atmospheric noise

Operator-seeded RNG

A matchbook-sized hardware RNG seeded by low-frequency atmospheric background noise. Operators are asked to hold a question in mind while the device emits a single stream of bits.

RNG stream · last 64 bits
Instrument · IIIEEG · uniform-field sensory deprivation

Ganzfeld drift

A receptive state under uniform visual and auditory field. We record 32-channel EEG and look for drift patterns that correlate with target selection, blind to the operator.

Ganzfeld · channels under drift
FzCzPzT7T8P3P4O1O2

The protocol,
because ritual without rigour is decoration.

Step 01
Register the question

A binary or k-way question with a specified outcome time is filed to the timestamp registry. No new question may be substituted once the trial begins.

Sealed →
Step 02
Declare priors

The operator, spread and instrument each have explicit numeric priors. The priors themselves are auditable and have been calibrated on previous trials.

Sealed →
Step 03
Draw · RNG · ganzfeld

The trial is run: spread drawn, RNG bits collected, ganzfeld session recorded. The operator does not know which instrument will be consulted first.

Sealed →
Step 04
Blind scoring

Readings are transcribed by a party who does not know the question. Scoring is mechanical: a pre-declared table maps draw bins and bit patterns to the outcome bins named in step 01.

Sealed →
Step 05
Seal the prediction

The prediction is written, signed and timestamped. Once sealed, it cannot be edited. No one on the team sees it until the outcome time passes.

Sealed →
Step 06
Observe the outcome

At the outcome time the world is checked. If the outcome is ambiguous, the trial is voided, and that voiding is recorded too.

Sealed →
Step 07
Report, including nothing

The result (hit, miss, void) is logged in the registry. Trials without findings are published with the same care as trials that succeeded.

Sealed →
Step 08
Recalibrate

Priors are updated. The calibration is preregistered for the next cohort. We have never yet recalibrated in a direction that made us look better.

Sealed →

Preregistration registry.

IDSealedQuestionInstrumentStatus
R·0001unsignedOperator-held binary question, 24-hour horizonOperator-seeded RNGDrafting
R·0002unsignedEight-position symbolic draw, k-way outcome on a pre-specified eventSymbolic draws · blind scoringDrafting
R·0003unsignedGanzfeld session with four-target forced-choiceEEG · ganzfeldDrafting
R·0004 … R·0020unsignedRemainder of first cohort, under review.MixedDrafting
First cohort · 20 questionsScheduled seal · 2026 · Q3Public registry · OSF (opening soon)

What we do not claim.

not · 01
We do not claim that symbolic draws predict the future.

We claim that an operator who performs a draw makes demonstrably different decisions, and we study those decisions.

Logged
not · 02
We do not claim that hardware RNG reads minds.

We claim that bit-stream statistics measured during a held question sometimes deviate from the null. We do not yet know why.

Logged
not · 03
We do not claim the ganzfeld is magical.

We claim it is a specific sensory regime that produces reproducible cortical drift in some operators, and we are curious what that drift correlates with.

Logged
not · 04
We do not claim our six findings will survive.

They have survived the first replication cohort. That is the only claim we make about them. The registry is public. Come break them.

Logged
The almanac

Return to the index.
Or write in with a question we could not have asked ourselves.

§ Index · all axes signal@runaric.com